{"id":6610,"date":"2023-05-01T07:58:36","date_gmt":"2023-05-01T07:58:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fayezalajmi-4x.com\/?p=6610"},"modified":"2023-05-01T07:59:10","modified_gmt":"2023-05-01T07:59:10","slug":"currency-weekly-report-11","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fayezalajmi-4x.com\/en\/currency-weekly-report-11\/","title":{"rendered":"Currency weekly report"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">The US Federal Reserve tops the most important events this week<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Markets await the meeting of the European Central Bank and the Australian Reserve<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Keep an eye out for US employment numbers from New Zealand and Canada<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Separate economic data<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">With the entry of the month of May, attention turns during the sessions of the current week towards many economic data that will have a direct impact on currency movements, as the meetings of the three central banks (the Federal Reserve \u2013 the European Central Bank \u2013 the Australian Reserve) lead in addition to labor market figures from New Zealand, the United States of America and Canada, and inflation figures<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">From the euro zone and many economic figures, the events of this week.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">US Federal Employment Numbers<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">The Open Market Committee (FOMC) is expected to start its meeting tomorrow, Tuesday, and announce its results on Wednesday in the American session, where expectations indicate that the US Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 25 basis points, to reach 5.25%.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">The latest data for inflation before the relevant Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed an increase of 0.1% in March after an increase of 0.4% in February, while the core index excluding food and energy prices rose to 0.4% compared to 0.5% in February.<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">On the other hand, the annual index increased over the past 12 months to 5.0% from 6.0% in February, while expectations were for a rise of 5.1%. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">The annual core index, excluding food and energy prices, fell to 5.6% on an annual basis in March from 5.5% to match.<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">for expectations.<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">On the other hand, the US Fed&#8217;s preferred indicator of consumer spending (PCE) slowed in March by 0.3%, and by 4.6% on an annual basis.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Forecasts for future contracts by the FEDWatch tool from CME now see an increase of 25 basis points in the May meeting, by 84%, so that levels of 5.25% are the levels of peak interest rates, while it sees a reduction of 25 basis points in interest rates at least in the fourth and last quarter of this year.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">With inflation rates stable and slowing continuously, the US Federal Reserve may hint that it will stop tightening monetary policy in June, but it is not expected that it will give any signs of changing monetary policy and lowering interest rates this year, as stated in the last meeting of the Fed, and therefore the markets will monitor Powell&#8217;s statements regarding this issue.<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Which will be the main driver of the markets in the coming period.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">In addition to inflation figures, the US Federal Reserve is expected to release labor market figures for the month of April, as it is expected to announce the addition of about 180,000 jobs, unemployment rates to rise to 3.6%, and wage rates to stabilize.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">European Central Bank<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">After the bank\u2019s decision in mid-March to raise interest rates by 50 basis points, to reach 3.5%, and deleting the phrase that the bank will raise interest rates in the coming period further with the development of the banking crisis at that time, the markets retreated from their expectations of raising interest rates by 50 basis points at the May meeting to about 25<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Basis point in raising for the seventh time in a row.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">The latest inflation figures for the eurozone in March, according to estimates by Eurostat or the Statistical Office of the European Union, showed an increase in annual inflation in the eurozone to 6.9%, compared to 8.5% in the February reading, while the main index excluding food and energy prices rose to 5.7% in March, compared to 5.5%.<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">6 in February reading.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">The eurozone is expected to announce preliminary inflation figures for February tomorrow, Tuesday, 48 hours before the meeting of the European Central Bank, as estimates indicate a slight increase in inflation to 7%, with core inflation slowing to 5.6%.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">It supports an interest rate hike of 25 basis points, and vice versa, if it came higher than expectations, it may change the market&#8217;s expectations that the bank will tend to tighten stronger and raise it by 50 basis points.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Reserve Bank of Australia<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">The Reserve Bank of Australia will meet tomorrow, Tuesday, in the Asian session, to discuss monetary policy developments, as it is estimated that the bank will keep its monetary policy and interest rates unchanged at 3.60% for the second month in a row.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Inflation in Australia recorded a rise of 7.0% on a quarterly basis in the first quarter ending in March, compared to 7.8% in the fourth quarter of last year, retreating from its highest level in 30 years, while the annual index fell to 6.3% in March, compared to 6.8% in February.<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Separate economic data<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Monday<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Manufacturing PMI from Japan<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">US manufacturing index<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Tuesday<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Reserve Bank of Australia meeting<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Inflation figures from the eurozone<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Vacancies and job turnover from the USA<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Wednesday<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Labor market figures from New Zealand<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Employment in the private sector of the United States <\/span><\/span><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">of America<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">US Services Index<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Fed meeting<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Thursday<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">European Central Bank meeting<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">US weekly unemploymen<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">\u0641 benefits<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Remarks<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\"> by Bank of Canada Governor MacClem<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Friday<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Service Index of China<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Inflation from Switzerland<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">American labor market<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Canadian labor market<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The US Federal Reserve tops the most important events this week Markets await the meeting of the European Central Bank and the Australian Reserve Keep an eye out for US employment numbers from New Zealand and Canada Separate economic data With the entry of the month of May, attention turns during the sessions of the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6171,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"nf_dc_page":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6610","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-currency-markets"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0628\u0648\u0639\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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