{"id":6802,"date":"2023-07-10T09:48:46","date_gmt":"2023-07-10T09:48:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fayezalajmi-4x.com\/?p=6802"},"modified":"2023-07-10T09:55:20","modified_gmt":"2023-07-10T09:55:20","slug":"currency-weekly-report-17","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fayezalajmi-4x.com\/en\/currency-weekly-report-17\/","title":{"rendered":"Currency Weekly Report"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">The Reserve Bank of New Zealand and the Bank of Canada lead this week&#8217;s events<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Markets await US inflation<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\"> figures<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Separate economic<\/span><\/span><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\"> data<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">After the meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia, the American labor market numbers, and the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting, in addition to some separate figures, issued the events of last week, the financial markets return in a new week and new economic figures that will cast a shadow over this week\u2019s trading, topped by the meeting of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand and the Central Bank of Canada, US and Chinese inflation figures, and growth figures<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">The labor market from the United Kingdom and many scattered economic figures.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Reserve Bank of New Zealand meeting<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Wednesday<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand meets in the Asian session to discuss monetary policy developments and set interest rates, as expectations indicate that the bank will keep the current interest rates at 5.50% unchanged for the first time since October 2021, to settle at their highest levels in 14 years.<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Inflation figures are at 6.7% in the first quarter of this year, and it is still double the bank\u2019s target of 1-3%, but it is clearly slowing down, while estimates indicate that it will reach 5.3% this year and 2.9% next year, while it expects the economy to grow by 0.7% in this year.<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">This year the figure of stagnation in the first quarter <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">.<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">In the previous meeting of the bank, the members expressed their satisfaction with the current and future course of interest rates and the appropriateness of keeping them at current levels, after the annual inflation rate in the consumer price index was lower than expected in February and fell to 6.7%. Thus, the bank is not expected to surprise the market in its meeting on Wednesday.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Especially since the quarterly inflation figures for the second quarter are expected to be released next week.<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Market expectations so far, with the bank keeping the current interest rates at 5.5% until the end of the first quarter of next year, and therefore any hints from the bank that it may start to reduce them before the first quarter will support strong movements for the New Zealand dollar.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Central Bank of Canada<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Next Wednesday, in the American session, the Central Bank of Canada will announce its monetary policy and interest rates, as expectations indicate that the bank will raise interest rates by 25 basis points, to reach 5% from 4.75%, after it surprised the markets at its previous meeting after expectations indicated that they would stabilize at 4.50%.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">.<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">At its meeting in March and April, the Bank kept its monetary policy and interest rates at 4.5% after the rate of inflation slowed, but decided to raise it by 25 basis points at its meeting in June after inflation rose to 4.4% in April, the first increase in ten months, but it slowed again.<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">to 4.2% in May and to 3.8% in June, and thus may support the bank&#8217;s keeping of monetary policy unchanged, despite the high expectations of a 25 basis point hike.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">The Canadian economy announced the addition of about 60,000 jobs last week, while the unemployment rate rose to 5.4% from 5.2%, and wages growth slowed to 4.2% compared to 5.1% in May, all of which are factors that support the Bank&#8217;s failure to tighten monetary policy strongly on Wednesday.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">USA will release inflation figures<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">The United States of America will start announcing its economic figures this week, starting next Wednesday, and will start with US inflation figures for the month of June, as expectations indicate that inflation will slow to 3.1% in June, to record its lowest level since March 2021, while the main index that excludes food and energy prices is expected to reach 5.<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">% from 5.3%.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">The markets are so far counting a rate hike at the bank\u2019s meeting on the 26th of July by 25 basis points, by more than 90%, and its stay at these levels until the end of the year, according to futures expectations by the FEDWatch tool from CME, and accordingly, the inflation numbers on Wednesday will determine the extent of the difference in expectations after their issuance for the next three meetings.<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">After it became almost certain to raise interest rates at its July meeting by 25 basis points.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">US Federal Reserve members Neil Kashkari, Waller, Loretta Mester and Daly will speak during the current week, and the markets will monitor the members&#8217; comments on inflation numbers and the future of interest rates in light of them.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Eurozone and the United Kingdom<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">From the Eurozone, we will follow this week the final inflation reading in Germany and the ZEW Consumer Confidence Index from Germany and the Eurozone, in addition to industrial production numbers.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">On the other hand, the United Kingdom will announce an increase in the labor market and wages tomorrow morning, Tuesday, while growth figures will be announced on Thursday morning, in addition to the statements of Bank Governor Billy.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Inflation in China is at its lowest level since February 2021<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">The Consumer Price Index (CPI), which measures inflation in the world&#8217;s second-largest economy, was unchanged in June at 0.0%, compared to a growth of 0.2% in May, according to figures from the National Bureau of Statistics released this morning. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">It came below expectations that indicated a growth of 0.2%, registering weaker<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Pace since February 2021.<\/span><\/span> <span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">The core index excluding food and energy prices slowed to 0.4% in June from 0.6%.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\"> The producer price index fell by 5.4%, compared to a decline of 4.6% in May, beating expectations and marking the fastest pace since December 2015.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Separate economic data<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Monday<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">inflation from China<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Producer price index of China<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Statements of the American Federalist Barr<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Statements by the Governor of the Bank of England<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Tuesday<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">The final reading of inflation in Germany<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Labor market figures from the UK<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">business confidence index<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Wednesday<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Reserve Bank of New Zealand meeting<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Statements by the Governor of the Bank of England<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Inflation from the USA<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Bank of Canada meeting<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">US crude oil inventories<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Thursday<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">growth from the UK<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">industrial production of the eurozone<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">US producer price index<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">US unemployment benefits<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">Friday<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">I<\/span><\/span><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">ndustrial production from Japan<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span class=\"jCAhz ChMk0b\"><span class=\"ryNqvb\">US Consumer Confidence<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Reserve Bank of New Zealand and the Bank of Canada lead this week&#8217;s events Markets await US inflation figures Separate economic data After the meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia, the American labor market numbers, and the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting, in addition to some separate figures, issued the events of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6300,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"nf_dc_page":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6802","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-currency-markets"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0628\u0648\u0639\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/fayezalajmi-4x.com\/en\/currency-weekly-report-17\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" 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